Evaluation Checkpoint
An evaluation checkpoint is a fixed time at which forecasts are scored (for example T-24h or market close). It prevents look-ahead bias and makes comparisons fair.
Definition
An evaluation checkpoint is a fixed time where you take a snapshot of forecasts or market prices and score them consistently.
Examples
• Score each question using the last forecast before market close.
• Score at fixed horizons like T-7d and T-24h (time to settlement).
Why it matters
Checkpoints reduce gaming and prevent look-ahead bias. They also make benchmark comparisons fair, because your forecast and the market consensus are measured at the same moment.
Related
Checkpoints connect to forecast horizon, time-weighted scoring, and timestamp integrity.